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Middle market finance chiefs are also thinking
positive.
Nearly 70% of chief financial officers
are optimistic about the economy’s expansion in 2003,
according to Fleet Capital Corp.’s annual Middle Market
survey. This is the highest percentage of CFOs expecting
economic
expansion
in the survey’s five-year history, said Fleet.
Just
5% of CFOs expect the economy to contract, the lowest percentage
in the survey’s history.
“This is positive news since the
manufacturing sector typically leads the economy out of recession,” says
Wayne Ayers, chief economist for FleetBoston Financial. “The
fundamental groundwork is in place for a strong, sustainable
expansion
kicking in toward the middle of next year.”
For example,
71% of the survey respondents expect their companies to report
higher revenues in 2003. Last year, just 51% of
the survey’s participants anticipated revenue growth.
Only
3% expect their revenues to contract, versus the 14% who
expected contraction in last year’s survey.
Also, 61%
of the participants said the current state of the economy
had not caused them to alter their plans for growth
or expansion. In fact, 21% said they have actually accelerated
their growth plans.
“Clearly the economy is not yet out
of the woods, but based on the trend line over the survey’s
five-year history, it appears CFOs believe the worst is over,” says
James Connolly, Fleet Capital’s president and CEO,
in a statement. “They
are now seeing opportunities for growth within their own
companies.”
How strong is the CFOs’ conviction?
One indication: 46% said their financing requirements would
increase in the
next 12 months. This is the highest percentage of CFOs citing
an increase in financing requirements in the survey’s
history, said Fleet.
In fact, 40% said credit availability
from their current lender has increased in the past 12 months.
And 90% said
they have been able to find the financing needed to execute
their business plans.
Other key findings from the survey:
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More than 40% of
CFOs said their relationship with their current lender
has improved. |
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54% expect their cost of capital
to rise next year, while 41% expect financing costs
to remain flat. |
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Nearly one in five (18%) expect
to participate in a merger, acquisition, or divestiture
in 2003. |
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43% of the CFOs believe that
the purchase price for companies in their industry
as a multiple of earnings
will increase in 2003, the highest percentage to feel this
way in the past four surveys. This compares with 17% in 2002. |
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